Nintendo has released what financial analysts are describing as a "conservative" sales forecast for the Nintendo Switch 2, amidst ongoing uncertainties related to tariffs. In its financial report this morning, Nintendo projected sales of 15 million units of the Switch 2 and 45 million game units for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 is slated to hit the market on June 5.
The forecast is based on the assumption that the U.S. tariff rates, which were implemented on April 10, will remain unchanged throughout the fiscal year. However, Nintendo acknowledged that any changes to these tariffs could impact their projections. "We will continue to monitor the situation to respond to changes in market conditions," the company stated.
Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, labeled the 15 million unit sales target as "conservative." In a tweet, Ahmad suggested that Nintendo's forecast likely takes into account the unpredictability surrounding tariffs, pricing, and production, despite the strong momentum seen in pre-orders. He further noted that Nintendo might revise its forecast upward should the tariff situation improve. "However, the main issue right now is the knock-on effects that are already in motion and creating a challenging environment for a console launch. Not to mention the threat of increased tariffs," Ahmad added.
It's important to highlight that if the Switch 2 manages to sell 15 million units in its first year, it would rank among the most successful console launches ever, surpassing the original Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million units.
AnswerSee ResultsDemand for the Switch 2 appears to be substantial. Following a delay attributed to tariffs, pre-orders for the Nintendo Switch 2 opened on April 24, maintaining the console's price at $449.99. The response was overwhelming, as expected. Additionally, Nintendo has cautioned U.S. customers who pre-ordered via the My Nintendo Store that release date delivery might not be guaranteed due to the high demand.
For more detailed information on securing your Switch 2, be sure to check out IGN's comprehensive Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.
